The era of rapid trend cycles in publishing
AI's Impact on rapid releasing, a decreased ability to find category arbitrage, and the shift in the balance of Author Ecosystems dominance in publishing.
Hi friends,
This whole article is gonna make a lot more sense to you if you read at least the overview of our Author Ecosystems archetype system. Otherwise, you are just gonna wonder why I keep talking about ecosystems and biomes.
I've been hearing a lot of Deserts talk about how the arbitrage of opportunities is drying up quicker than ever.
Arbitrage in this context refers to the practice of exploiting a market inefficiency—in this case, the time gap between the identification of a trend and the market's saturation with relevant content.
In the past, discovering a new trend in publishing meant that you could capitalize on it for an extended period, typically 6-12 months, or more. This allowed authors, particularly those adept at spotting and exploiting these trends (we call these Deserts) to write a series of books and then move on to the next big thing. However, the landscape has changed drastically in the last few years. Trends that once provided a fertile ground for a long time now…
